Europe threat map
From Brexit, to refugees, to spillovers from the Syrian and Libyan civil wars – there’s plenty to keep Europeans up at night. And these are just the things we can see. What about the stuff we can’t?
The second edition of our European Threat Map reveals some of the anomalies found when applying AI-driven, behavioral analysis to vessels, enabling organizations – such as Frontex and Italy’s Guardia di Finanza – to anticipate threats, and stay ahead of their adversaries.
Amid the drug smuggling, human trafficking and sanctions evasion detected, there are a number of key findings, including:
- The Black Sea is significantly riskier than the Mediterranean; there are about three times as many “risky” vessels visiting the Black Sea vs the Med.
- Despite EU sanctions on Syria and Crimea, commercial shipping activities continue to take place in the waters around these territories, indicating probable sanction evasions.
- In Europe, Guernsey and Romania have the highest proportion of incorporated companies whose vessels display “risky” behavioral patterns.
- Over the previous year, 42 vessels displayed patterns of behavior similar to ships caught with drugs on board.
Stay tuned for threat maps for other parts of the world. For now, stay safe!
Download a PDF of the map
Featured posts
Conflict zones
Russia Regime Risk Insights – January 2023
Windward’s Russia Risk Insights is a monthly update on risk at sea, offering an overview of any emerging behavioral trends in developing hubs prone to illicit activity in the context of the extended sanctions on Russia. The new January 2023 insights from Windward’s Russia Risk Report continue to show how the West is still avoiding…
Read more
Risks & compliance
900 Reasons to Worry about Russian Price Cap’s New Phase
The West’s price cap on Russian crude oil can be defined as a success up until this point when measured against its two main goals: Reuters notes that Urals and KEBCO crude oil loadings from Ust-Luga, Russia’s Baltic port, during Feb. 1-10 could increase to 1 million tons from 0.9 million in the plan for…
Read more
Supply chain
4 maritime trends: 2023, the year of efficiency
As we start 2023, major supply chain “woes” have been alleviated, the major crises that affected the supply chain in the last few years have come to an end, and the supply chain is slowly getting back to some sort of “normal.” The major priorities for this year are making operations efficient and minimizing avoidable…
Read more
Border security and intelligence
3-ton cocaine bust shouldn’t have been surprising…
Maritime outlets briefly covered the recent three-ton cocaine bust off the Western Sahara coast earlier this week. A cargo vessel was intercepted and seized by a joint police, civil guard, and customs team on January 18 off the Western Sahara coast, and taken to Santa Cruz de Tenerife, on suspicion of drug trafficking. By looking…
Read more
Risks & compliance
3 maritime risk trends & efficiency tips for 2023
Globally, we’re entering uncertain financial times, as the world economy is facing “one of the weakest paces of growth on record in 2023, according to annual projections released by the World Bank Group, following a year of accelerated inflation, worsening financial conditions and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine,” as noted in Forbes. For the maritime industry,…
Read more
Supply chain
5 ways to “Manifest” an ocean freight efficiency plan
2023 is kicking off with grim forecasts about the world economy. Organizations across sectors are bracing for the expected decrease in global trade/demand. The search for new methods that will lead to greater efficiency and resilience is likely to be a hot topic at Manifest, the major supply chain and logistics event in Las Vegas…
Read more
