Hormuz Traffic Near Zero as Dark Exports Continue
At a Glance Operational Overview The Strait of Hormuz remained under acute operational pressure between June 11 and June 14. AIS-visible commercial traffic stayed near zero, IRGC small-craft activity surged, and covert export infrastructure continued functioning despite sustained U.S. enforcement. The most immediate signal is the collapse in visible movement. Only one AIS crossing was…
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Hormuz Traffic Falls as Military Pressure Intensifies
At a Glance Operational Overview The Strait of Hormuz remains operational, but increasingly constrained. While Iranian officials continue to characterize the Strait as closed, recent observations suggest a more nuanced reality. Commercial traffic continues to move, but at extremely low levels. Dark vessel activity remains persistent, military enforcement continues to expand, and maritime visibility across…
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LPG Flows Test the Blockade as Hormuz Tightens
At a Glance Operational Overview The June 5–10 reporting period shows a maritime environment under tightening enforcement, but not full immobilization. While Iranian crude exports remain heavily constrained, limited LPG cargoes continue reaching South Asian markets through deceptive shipping practices. At the same time, U.S. enforcement is expanding geographically, commercial traffic through Hormuz is adjusting…
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Why Russia’s Sanctioned Shadow Fleet Is Bypassing the English Channel
At a Glance Russian Tankers Repeatedly Bypass the English Channel Western-sanctioned tankers loading oil at Russian Baltic ports normally transit the English Channel as part of standard voyage routing. In the past 30 days, Windward tracked 84 Western-sanctioned tankers through the Channel — 44% flagged with Sierra Leone, 19% with Cameroon, and 18% with Russia….
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