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At a Glance The Second Week of the Ceasefire at Sea Two weeks after the ceasefire announcement, the maritime system has moved further away from normalization. The first week of the ceasefire established that Hormuz had not reopened to normal commercial traffic. Movement continued, but under overlapping Iranian control and U.S. enforcement. During the second…

At a Glance Operational Overview  Maritime dynamics across the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding corridors continue to shift from constrained activity toward selective escalation, with enforcement, evasion, and direct engagement shaping vessel behavior. Iranian crude exports from Kharg Island declined sharply during the week of April 13–19, with total volumes estimated at approximately 3 million…

At a Glance The Iran War Exposed a Visibility Gap Operation Epic Fury did not stop maritime activity. It changed how that activity is conducted and how visible it is. From the outset, the electronic environment degraded at scale. More than 1,100 vessels were affected by GPS and AIS interference within the first 24 hours,…

At a Glance From Open Sea to Controlled Passage For decades, global shipping has operated on a foundational assumption: freedom of navigation. The Iran war is challenging that assumption in real time. The Strait of Hormuz is no longer just congested or high-risk. It is controlled. Transit is selective, access is conditional, and movement depends…