Whitepapers

India’s Ocean Perimeter: Remote Sensing Intelligence for IOR Maritime Security

At a Glance

  • India faces rising levels of congestion, deception, and gray-zone activity across the Indian Ocean, complicating its role as a net security provider.
  • Traditional AIS and coastal surveillance cannot distinguish high-risk behavior from routine traffic at scale.
  • Remote Sensing Intelligence provides a persistent, multi-sensor view that highlights risk early across chokepoints, SLOCs, coastal zones, and areas near critical underwater infrastructure.
  • Remote Sensing Intelligence strengthens India’s ability to monitor survey vessels, illicit networks, and activity near undersea cables, islands, and offshore assets.
  • IFC-IOR and India’s regional partnerships can operationalize Remote Sensing Intelligence into actionable decision cycles for interdiction, diplomacy, and deterrence.

India’s Indian Ocean Security Dilemma

India’s geography gives it strategic reach and strategic responsibility. More than 7,500 km of coastline, two island chains that anchor India’s maritime posture, and direct access to critical sea lanes that connect the Gulf, Africa, and East Asia define India’s identity as a maritime nation. The Indian Ocean Region (IOR) is both India’s economic lifeline and its primary security environment.

At the same time, the waters around India have become more complex. The volume of legitimate traffic has surged alongside illicit networks, covert logistics routes, and gray-zone actors whose activities blur the boundary between civilian and military purposes. Survey vessels and research ships from extra-regional powers, like China, now operate more frequently near India’s undersea cables, island territories, and sensitive sea lanes. This activity is lawful on paper, but strategically consequential.

Anomalies over the past 30 days in India's EEZ. Source: Windward Maritime AI™ platform
Anomalies over the past 30 days in India’s EEZ. Source: Windward Maritime AI™ platform

Windward’s Early Detection data reflects this convergence. In the past 30 days, vessels with smuggling-related risk indicators drifting inside India’s EEZ increased by 80%, and ship-to-ship (STS) meetings involving such vessels rose by 53%. Activity by vessels with links to sanctioned economies also climbed sharply, with DPRK-risk vessels up 115% and Iran-risk vessels increasing by 44% while operating at low speeds or entering India’s EEZ. There was also a 97% increase in Chinese-flagged vessels conducting STS operations in India’s EEZ. Together, these patterns illustrate how India’s position between the Middle East, Europe, and the wider Indo-Pacific exposes it to multiple overlapping threat streams at once.

Maritime trafficking routes in the Indian Ocean Region. Source: Findings of the Expert Working Group on Trafficking Opiates and Methamphetamine on the Southern Route (2023)
Maritime trafficking routes in the Indian Ocean Region. Source: Findings of the Expert Working Group on Trafficking Opiates and Methamphetamine on the Southern Route (2023)

India’s challenge is not vessel visibility. It is the inability of legacy tools to interpret this traffic fast enough to inform operations, diplomacy, and deterrence. AIS, VTS, and coastal radar provide partial coverage. They do not resolve intent, deception, or identity conflict. They cannot distinguish meaningful anomalies from the overwhelming flow of compliant behavior.

India’s evolving security environment demands clarity – a way to determine which vessels matter now.

Remote Sensing Intelligence provides that clarity by expanding India’s “ocean perimeter” into a persistent, multi-sensor system capable of detecting deviation and deception across vast areas of the IOR.

A Crowded Ocean: Layers India Must Navigate

The Indian Ocean is not a single operating picture. It is three overlapping layers of traffic that require different forms of interpretation:

  • White Shipping: Commercial and Fishing Traffic
    Predictable, high-density, and essential to India’s energy and economic stability. But its sheer scale conceals anomalies that resemble compliance at first glance.
  • Gray Forces: Survey, Research, and Dual-Use Platforms
    These vessels behave like civilian platforms but are engaged in seabed mapping, hydrographic assessments, or intelligence-adjacent missions. Their AIS reports often appear routine, but their operational intent rarely is.
  • Black Networks: Illicit and Covert Networks
    Drug-trafficking motherships, fuel smugglers, IUU fishing fleets, sanctions-evading tankers, and unregistered craft. These networks adapt quickly and exploit busy, poorly monitored waters even when their outward behavior appears consistent with legitimate traffic.

On AIS alone, these categories look almost indistinguishable. Even fully compliant AIS behavior can mask risk, which is why India needs tools that distinguish routine movement from activity that warrants scrutiny. Short AIS gaps may hide illicit transfers. Generic port calls may mask covert logistics. A research vessel operating legally may still be mapping seabed areas relevant to undersea cable security.

The operational challenge for Indian authorities is not spotting ships, but ranking risk within a crowded maritime picture where routine and high-risk behavior often look the same.

Remote Sensing Intelligence brings coherence to these layers by correlating identity, behavior, emissions, and sensor detections into a unified operational picture.

Remote Sensing Intelligence as India’s Perimeter Sensor Grid

Remote Sensing Intelligence enables India to extend its effective surveillance perimeter beyond its territorial waters into the broad IOR, where its strategic interests lie. Its power lies in fusing synthetic aperture radar (SAR), radio frequency (RF), electro-optical (EO) imagery, and behavioral analytics into a continuous, independent view of what is happening at sea.

Chokepoint and SLOC Monitoring

India’s strategic environment depends on uninterrupted movement through crowded, high-risk corridors. The approaches to the Strait of Hormuz, the Gulf of Aden, the Mozambique Channel, Malacca-bound lanes, and the waters around the Andamans are dense enough that illicit activity can blend in with routine tanker and bulker traffic. Vessels can run short dark legs, alter patterns subtly, or loiter in ways that look compliant on AIS.

Hormuz is the clearest example. In 2024, roughly 20% of global oil consumption – and a major share of India’s crude imports – moved through the channel with no practical alternative. Even brief tension has triggered price spikes, showing how quickly instability in a chokepoint becomes an economic shock for India. The operational challenge is determining which deviations in these corridors require attention and which reflect normal variation.

Volume of petroleum transported through the Strait of Hormuz, million barrels per day. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration analysis based on Vortexa tanker tracking.
Volume of petroleum transported through the Strait of Hormuz, million barrels per day. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration analysis based on Vortexa tanker tracking.

Remote Sensing Intelligence closes this gap by highlighting vessels that stray from established corridors, slow or maneuver near sensitive approaches, or present behavior that does not match their declared movements. Multi-sensor detections cut through AIS ambiguity and surface risk patterns early.

For India, this turns chokepoints into interpretable operating spaces rather than congested blind spots, strengthening the security of energy lifelines and the SLOCs that anchor India’s economic and strategic posture.

Detecting Non-Compliant and Deceptive Behavior

Deception at sea is subtle. A vessel may alter its identity, manipulate AIS timing, adopt fishing-like tracks without fishing gear, or rendezvous offshore in ways that mimic routine operations. Individually, no single sensor reveals the full picture; the insight emerges only when detections and declared behavior are correlated.

Remote Sensing Intelligence exposes these anomalies by correlating multi-sensor detections with declared behavior. SAR, EO, and RF confirm presence, direction, and activity even when AIS appears normal. Behavioral analytics identify vessels that repeat suspicious patterns, such as short, deliberate gaps, looping tracks, offshore meetings, or identity histories that do not align with global behavior. Document and ownership-record validation reinforces this picture by flagging inconsistencies in flagging, registration, or claimed operators that contradict sensor-confirmed activity.

This layered approach is essential because some forms of deception are invisible on AIS alone. In one recent case, a vessel transmitted AIS positions indicating it was operating in a particular area, yet Remote Sensing Intelligence showed the transmission was false. SAR imagery revealed an empty patch of water at the reported coordinates, RF sweeps detected no emissions, and EO imagery confirmed no hull or wake. On AIS, the vessel appeared compliant; Remote Sensing Intelligence exposed that it was never there. GNSS manipulation of this kind can mask true routes, conceal illicit activity, or obscure movements near chokepoints and seabed infrastructure.

AIS transmission with no vessel, confirmed by Remote Sensing Intelligence. Source: Windward Maritime AI™ platform.
AIS transmission with no vessel, confirmed by Remote Sensing Intelligence. Source: Windward Maritime AI™ platform.

For India, this turns a sea full of “normal-looking” vessels into a ranked picture of which actors matter now. It compresses the time between quiet deception and actionable awareness, allowing authorities to target interdiction assets and diplomatic pressure where it will have immediate effect.

Protecting Undersea Cables, Islands, and Seabed Assets

India’s subsea cables, offshore energy assets, and island chains are now central to both national security and economic stability. Traffic around the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Lakshadweep, and planned tsunami- and earthquake-warning cable routes has increased, including survey-type vessels whose declared missions may not match their operational patterns. These activities are lawful on paper but strategically consequential if left unexamined. They have also prompted India and the European Union to begin structured discussions on undersea cable security and shared monitoring in the Indian Ocean.

Remote Sensing Intelligence highlights behaviors that matter: slow survey-grid movements, repeated low-speed passes along cable alignments, unusual anchoring near sensitive seabeds, or foreign research vessels operating in patterns inconsistent with their global profiles. Multi-sensor detections independently confirm presence and activity, even when AIS appears normal. This also helps surface identity inconsistencies when documentation or declared purpose does not align with observed activity.

Chinese research vessel conducting mapping activity over a cable. Source: Windward Maritime AI™ platform.
Chinese research vessel conducting mapping activity over a cable. Source: Windward Maritime AI™ platform.

For India, this transforms vulnerable underwater infrastructure from a blind spot into a continuously monitored perimeter. It enables earlier diplomatic signaling, more confident naval shadowing, and a clearer view of foreign presence near assets that cannot afford disruption.

Turning Intelligence Into Action: Remote Sensing Intelligence and the IFC-IOR Framework

The Information Fusion Centre, Indian Ocean Region (IFC-IOR), is at the heart of India’s cooperative maritime security architecture. It brings together liaison officers, partner navies, and regional coast guards to share information and enhance collective maritime vigilance.

Remote Sensing Intelligence strengthens IFC-IOR’s mission not by supplying more data, but by supplying usable intelligence. It transforms fragmented sensor feeds into risk-scored insights that all partners can interpret, act on, and integrate into their own surveillance ecosystems.

For India, this means:

  • Faster elevation of vessels that deviate from historical baselines.
  • Shared visibility on dark activity and illicit routes that cross national boundaries.
  • Earlier warning of survey behaviors near island territories and subsea cables.
  • A more coherent, shared operational picture that supports HADR, disaster-warning workflows, and infrastructure protection alongside security tasks.

Operational Examples: Turning Anomalies Into Decisions

Drug Trafficking in the Eastern IOR

Remote Sensing Intelligence helps India detect organized criminal network activity long before it reaches the coast. In the eastern IOR, the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime reporting shows that trafficking networks in the Maldives and Sri Lanka rely on offshore “motherships” that push narcotics into smaller craft, often operating in lightly patrolled southern waters and adapting routes quickly to avoid enforcement.

A vessel approaching this zone may look compliant on AIS with routine speeds, a generic destination, and only short, explainable reporting gaps. But Remote Sensing Intelligence reveals what traditional feeds miss. SAR or RF detections confirm presence during those gaps, while behavioral analytics highlight repeated rendezvous-style pauses and proximity to unregistered small craft associated with local patron-client smuggling networks. The vessel’s departure history, correlated with global behavioral patterns, elevates risk further when it matches known high-risk origin ports.

For India’s Navy, Coast Guard, and maritime intelligence units, Remote Sensing Intelligence turns this from a late discovery into an early warning. Agencies can cue long-range patrol aircraft when the mothership is still inbound, coordinate with Sri Lanka and the Maldives through IFC-IOR before the cargo fragments into dozens of small boats, and build attribution from multi-sensor correlation rather than relying on chance interdiction. This addresses a core problem identified in UNODC reporting: traffickers often re-enter the market quickly when detection happens too late or without sufficient evidentiary context.

A Survey Vessel Near Critical Cables

Foreign research and survey vessels have become a recurring point of concern in the Indian Ocean Region, particularly when platforms arrive in Sri Lanka or the Maldives and subsequently operate close to India’s sensitive sea lanes or island territories. These ships typically declare scientific missions, but their movements can introduce strategic ambiguity when they work near undersea cable alignments or critical island chains such as the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

In a typical scenario of concern, a research vessel begins executing tight, grid-like tracks along a known cable route. On AIS, everything appears compliant: standard speeds, routine port calls, and no conspicuous gaps. In this case, this reflects activity that is technically lawful but operationally significant if not examined in context.

Remote Sensing Intelligence resolves that ambiguity. SAR and optical imagery confirm the precision of the survey grids; RF detections help characterize equipment usage; and behavioral analytics compare the pattern to the vessel’s global operating history. This correlation is key: Remote Sensing Intelligence highlights when declared scientific work does not fully align with observed behavior or with patterns previously seen near other critical seabed locations.

For India, the benefit is not in calling every survey movement suspicious, but in determining which ones require attention. Remote Sensing Intelligence turns uncertain survey activity into a clearly ranked risk picture, enabling calibrated diplomatic engagement, targeted naval shadowing, and continuous protection of subsea cables and island infrastructure.

IUU Fishing Cluster at the EEZ Boundary

Coastal waters around India’s EEZ boundaries often host dense clusters of small vessels – some artisanal, some cross-border, and some linked to larger criminal networks moving contraband or masking other illicit activities. These networks increasingly use fishing vessels as cover, blending into legitimate fleets and exploiting gaps in coastal surveillance. On AIS, they appear indistinguishable from local traffic, and many operate without AIS at all.

Remote Sensing Intelligence helps cut through that density. Multi-sensor detections identify patterns that are inconsistent with artisanal fishing, such as repeated nighttime crossings into Indian waters, coordinated movements among vessels with no gear on deck, or rendezvous positions aligned with known trafficking corridors. Behavioral analytics incorporates regional patterns, including the tendency for organized networks to shift toward less-patrolled southern areas or to piggyback on legal fishing activity to mask movement.

For India, this provides the ability to rapidly separate genuine livelihood fishing from activity that may indicate smuggling, organized illegal fishing, or cross-border criminal operations. Remote Sensing Intelligence compresses the decision cycle, informing Navy and Coast Guard tasking, and allowing authorities to intervene precisely where coastal communities are most affected by illegal exploitation and criminal infiltration.

From Pilots to Practice: What India Should Do Next

The next step for India and regional governments is not acquiring more sensors, but embedding Remote Sensing Intelligence into everyday operational practice. 

India can strengthen maritime decision cycles by formally defining where Remote Sensing Intelligence enters tasking, how assessments are shared, and how it complements coastal sensors, communications intercepts, and human-led intelligence. Without codification, its value remains dependent on individual units rather than institutional process.

Strengthening IFC-IOR is equally important. Integrating Remote Sensing Intelligence into IFC-IOR workflows – through shared anomaly libraries, region-specific risk models for chokepoints, and coordinated alerting – gives partners a common operating picture that reflects the realities of the IOR’s crowded sea space. This ensures that risk signals identified in one jurisdiction do not disappear at another’s maritime boundary.

Technology alone will not close India’s maritime gaps. Governments need to invest in analyst tooling: prioritization dashboards, mission-ready alerts, and mechanisms that push relevant intelligence directly to ships, coastal units, and watch centers. This transforms Remote Sensing Intelligence from an analytical product into a day-to-day operational advantage.

Finally, success must be measured, not assumed. Meaningful metrics include shorter time from anomaly to boarding, higher interdiction hit-rates, and earlier visibility into survey behavior near cables or islands. These outcomes show commanders, policymakers, and partners that Remote Sensing Intelligence does more than improve awareness – it accelerates action.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Because traditional AIS and coastal sensors cannot keep pace with rising maritime congestion and deceptive activity. Remote Sensing Intelligence offers independent, persistent visibility across the wider Indian Ocean.

It identifies patterns that appear routine on AIS but become concerning when correlated with SAR, RF, optical detections, and historical behavioral data.

Remote Sensing Intelligence detects survey-like tracks, unusual loitering, and vessel behavior inconsistent with declared missions – providing early indicators that are not visible through AIS or coastal systems.

It provides risk-scored insights that partners can act on immediately, enabling faster and more coordinated responses to illicit networks, dark activity, and emerging threats.

Earlier detection, more efficient tasking of naval and air assets, improved attribution, and stronger regional coordination – all essential for sustaining India’s role as a net security provider.