Monitoring a Fleet You Can’t Find: The Marine Insurance Challenge in a Dark-Activity Era
At a Glance The Claims Environment Forced the Conversation The Francis Scott Key Bridge collapse did more than produce a market-defining loss. Howden Re’s revised assessment puts insured losses above $2.8 billion, cementing Baltimore as the largest marine insurance loss on record, surpassing the circa $1.6 billion Costa Concordia benchmark from 2012. The revised figure…
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Three Months Into Operation Epic Fury: How Iran Restructured Hormuz Instead of Closing It
At a Glance Operational Overview Hormuz transits remain at approximately 6% of their pre-conflict baseline, and the residual flow is increasingly Iranian-flagged, dark, or hugging Iranian territorial waters. IRGC small-craft counts have moved decisively off the Iranian shore and into the open strait body, with the swarm now positioned within visual range of every commercial…
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Trump Says Hormuz Will Open: A Deal Takes Shape as Iran Expands the PGSA
At a Glance Operational Overview The Hormuz operating environment moved through one of its most consequential five-day windows of the conflict between May 20 and May 24, with Iranian administrative escalation, sustained U.S. enforcement, partial export recovery, and the first publicly announced diplomatic framework all advancing in parallel. Iran’s PGSA extended its claimed zone to…
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Iran Loads East of Hormuz: A New Export Node, a Live Toll Regime, and U.S. Enforcement at Sea
At a Glance Operational Overview The Iranian export environment shifted on two axes across May 19 and May 20, including an offshore crude loading node that has been activated on Iran’s Gulf of Oman coast outside the Strait of Hormuz, and U.S. enforcement has broadened into a parallel campaign across at-sea seizures, OFAC designations, and…
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